nrl ladder predictor squiggle
an unbelievably good defensive effort. Likewise, (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.618885 - 0.381115RealScores: 86.042106 - 72.332291, North Melbourne 72 - 89 Hawthorn Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.355984 - 0.644016RealScores: 72.406835 - 88.979440, Sydney 86 - 76 Western Bulldogs S.C.G. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! The Warriors 2022 season added another year to their finals drought, which has lasted since 2012. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Then they plunged from 1st to 5th in the final three rounds, upending a lot of ladder predictions along the way. Pos. and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator Can't understand why the NRL removed it, it is an important tool especially in finals time. Fri 8 oct 2021, 12:01 pm. Tip round 1 in Tipping - Weekly Platinum Membership prize. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. He also resisted the popular urge to push Geelong down the ladder, and wisely slotted the Eagles into the bottom 4. Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. Favorited. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G. Ryans ladder managed to get 7/8 finalists, which is fantastic given that three of them finished last year in 11th, 12th, and 17th. Team; Services. My actual nrl ladder predictor. Jake had done this for 2011-2022, but wanted to go back further. Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click Gamify engagement Capture first-party fan data and maximise monetisation opportunities with gamification. Works well. If you want more rugby league content like, subscribe and comment! Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. The Crows also saw negative movement, Source: Getty Images. (His tip of Fremantle for 6th a single rung too low was especially good.) Progress one real result at a time: keep tapping ACTUAL. For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. higher than you might expect. A benefactor was Daniel Cherny, whod tipped them for 6th, and suddenly had the best projection out of anyone. All the Squiggle goodies are now updated to support the new season: Heading into 2021, there was a bit of hive mind syndrome going around: You can order 18 teams in 6.4 quadrillion different ways, but after reviewing a whole lot of 2021 ladder predictions, I see we're all picking the same 3 or 4. Penrith Panthers. 2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positionsthe But it is interesting (NSW)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.658423 - 0.341577RealScores: 88.637994 - 69.011286, West Coast 62 - 93 Melbourne Perth Stadium (WA)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.256328 - 0.743672RealScores: 61.536510 - 92.754401, Adelaide 73 - 88 Carlton Adelaide Oval (SA)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.377777 - 0.622223RealScores: 73.109148 - 87.856639, Brisbane Lions 106 - 66 North Melbourne Adelaide Hills (SA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.805413 - 0.194587RealScores: 106.310721 - 66.143252, Collingwood 78 - 68 St Kilda Adelaide Oval (SA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.578813 - 0.421187RealScores: 78.187581 - 68.421894, Essendon 67 - 92 Melbourne Adelaide Oval (SA)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.298351 - 0.701649RealScores: 66.876194 - 91.585561, Fremantle 70 - 73 Gold Coast Norwood Oval (SA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.486872 - 0.513128RealScores: 69.933977 - 72.644776, Geelong 113 - 49 West Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.920717 - 0.079283RealScores: 113.105316 - 48.613911, Greater Western Sydney 74 - 76 Hawthorn Norwood Oval (SA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.493129 - 0.506871RealScores: 73.586583 - 75.651784, Port Adelaide 81 - 77 Western Bulldogs Adelaide Oval (SA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.520729 - 0.479271RealScores: 80.942698 - 77.441864, Richmond 88 - 85 Sydney Adelaide Oval (SA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.513234 - 0.486766RealScores: 87.657631 - 84.935811, Carlton 79 - 69 St Kilda Docklands (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.590537 - 0.409463RealScores: 79.446488 - 68.647168, Collingwood 94 - 69 Essendon M.C.G. If you want more rugby league content like, subscribe and comment! Bloody Geelong. The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of Flag height indicates a team's strength (venue-neutral), downscaled by their likelihood of missing finals. Tex Hoy and Phoenix Crossland were given a chance in the halves when they came up against North Queensland in Round 9, as Clune was dropped, while Clifford had suffered a minor injury. If you encounter any issues please contact us Status: Done! You could also win some epic prizes! (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 85.821895 - 84.645776, St Kilda 70 - 62 Fremantle Docklands (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.535371 - 0.464629RealScores: 69.583561 - 61.685266, Adelaide 78 - 97 Richmond Adelaide Oval (SA)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.359511 - 0.640489RealScores: 77.857833 - 96.911825, Brisbane Lions 80 - 79 Melbourne Gabba (QLD)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 79.679260 - 78.695137, Carlton 67 - 85 Geelong M.C.G. Uncategorized Previous A Novelist's Guide to Suspense in Football Press J to jump to the feed. They kept our game alive through its though times and they deserve some on-field luck to go their way. Click a team flag to remove every other team. And now that regular service has resumed implying that there was never much to see in the first place a new trend is emerging.. Hi, I made a simple NRL ladder predictor web app, please check it out here https://sonekil.github.io/. If May 2, 2021 3 views. For details, see INFO Flagpole. Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. Both teams See more of nrl ladder, games and injury updates on facebook. For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making Load a past season: FIXTURE Allow tipping of past games. Alter Past Result Enter Future Result Enter Imaginary Result, (4) Allow for modification of future games, https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/squiggle-2017.1157986, Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm. less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year replaying the last few decades. attack and defense. Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected. But before we go any further, an important disclaimer: the Cats were so comfortably in far of everyone else, not even the leagues hardest fixture would have kept them from the minor premiership. Who will make the Top 8 and play the finals in 2023? Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. Collingwood were generally tipped for somewhere around mid-table, often pushing into the Eight, as were St Kilda. On the main page, you can see how ratings change over time, and compare ratings from different models. You must log in or register to reply here. Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. when single-digit scorelines abounded. Join FREE and support Australia's favourite footy community. Can you predict the 2021 nrl top 8 go on then . For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to NRL ladder predictor Fox Sports Lab. of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times. Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season. NRL 2022 ladder prediction: 9-8 Christo Roar Guru 23rd February, 2022 A A A 5 Join the conversation 1324 Reads Advertisement Write for The Roar Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work featured alongside some of Australia's most prominent sports journalists. Check out the 2023 NRL Live Ladder! Pld Pls. Of the 26 experts and models Ive tracked for three consecutive years, Peter has the best record, averaging 65.03 points across that period. FOX SPORTS LAB PREDICTED LADDER. Who's leading the ladder and who's lagging on the table in the 2023 AFL premiership season. A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. Diff. For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 50 = 95 points. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 81.347127 - 81.908133, West Coast 84 - 74 North Melbourne Perth Stadium (WA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.579370 - 0.420630RealScores: 83.639922 - 73.979436, Western Bulldogs 90 - 62 Greater Western Sydney Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730821 - 0.269179RealScores: 90.049873 - 62.458249, Adelaide 78 - 85 Gold Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.453053 - 0.546947RealScores: 78.471543 - 84.893969, Essendon 96 - 67 West Coast Docklands (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.735521 - 0.264479RealScores: 95.511258 - 67.125539, Fremantle 76 - 71 Brisbane Lions Perth Stadium (WA)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.533692 - 0.466308RealScores: 76.084003 - 71.014669, Geelong 100 - 53 Port Adelaide Kardinia Park (Gee)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.851940 - 0.148060RealScores: 99.531650 - 53.289225, Greater Western Sydney 66 - 86 Sydney Sydney Showground (NSW)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.322863 - 0.677137RealScores: 65.564251 - 86.496320, Hawthorn 68 - 89 Collingwood M.C.G. Squiggle, the home of computer-aided AFL footy tipping, offers a handy ladder predictor tool. (NSW)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.547076 - 0.452924RealScores: 82.246200 - 76.661596, West Coast 78 - 85 Essendon Perth Stadium (WA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.436944 - 0.563056RealScores: 77.687755 - 84.949042, Essendon 93 - 74 North Melbourne Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.660329 - 0.339671RealScores: 92.598682 - 74.429422, Gold Coast 92 - 71 Adelaide Marrara Oval (NT)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686683 - 0.313317RealScores: 92.375346 - 70.990166, Greater Western Sydney 72 - 91 Richmond Sydney Showground (NSW)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.337604 - 0.662396RealScores: 72.378369 - 90.795195, Melbourne 77 - 74 Carlton M.C.G. It may thus underestimate a team Overall, Adelaide did well out of the 2022 fixture which, as a bottom-6 team, was at least to plan. Best Ladder by a Model: Squiggle (6th overall). So the more games you lose, the harder it is to make finals, in a steady and predictable way. Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The 2021 nrl season is underway from thursday march 11, 2021. 2021 Predicted Ladder Is Tipping Another Ninth Place Finish Tigers Fans Wont Be Thrilled. Adelaide and West Coast, Geelong 86 - 65 Collingwood M.C.G. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, May 2, 2021 3 views. Reset Week Randomize Week DIV CONF Do you us? You must provide an email address to create a Roar account, When using Facebook to create or log in to an account, you need to grant The Roar permission to see your email address, By joining The Roar you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms & Conditions. You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year. The disrespect towards the club was disgusting, however thats a story for another day. their squiggle scores. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.310109 - 0.689891RealScores: 65.279728 - 87.319665, North Melbourne 68 - 92 Port Adelaide Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.290900 - 0.709100RealScores: 67.864934 - 92.378123, Richmond 73 - 93 Geelong M.C.G. Theres no effect we wont try to pair with a cause, no matter how thin the evidence. The Official NRL Tipping & Streak competitions are back in 2023. The 2023 AFL fixture will be released in the near future, and I have some thoughts. Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm. Current. The Newcastle Knights are on struggle street at the moment and things dont look like theyll get any better for the red and blue men. Odds correct at time of writing. Newcastle not only had on-field issues, but off-field controversy rose as well. provide a faster result. and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. With plenty to play for from the top to the bottom of the ladder, we look at each NRL team's 2022 Premiership odds and go into what the rest of the season looks like. (NSW)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.621694 - 0.378306RealScores: 88.598290 - 73.972101, West Coast 57 - 83 Fremantle Perth Stadium (WA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.287619 - 0.712381RealScores: 57.370571 - 82.895811, Adelaide 74 - 89 Sydney Adelaide Oval (SA)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.379939 - 0.620061RealScores: 74.115208 - 88.747091, Collingwood 87 - 77 Brisbane Lions Docklands (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.582826 - 0.417174RealScores: 87.142706 - 76.597568, Fremantle 75 - 63 Port Adelaide Perth Stadium (WA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.603994 - 0.396006RealScores: 75.409451 - 62.564528, Gold Coast 79 - 82 Carlton Carrara (QLD)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.494517 - 0.505483RealScores: 78.998348 - 81.600503, Greater Western Sydney 80 - 75 Essendon Sydney Showground (NSW)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.529693 - 0.470307RealScores: 79.831018 - 74.813848, Melbourne 88 - 64 Hawthorn M.C.G. (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.406747 - 0.593253RealScores: 78.320212 - 88.835701, Melbourne 76 - 73 Collingwood M.C.G. Oh sure, now, everyone looks back on the preseason ladders and mocks how wrong they were. 2023 . Last week, in the Squiggle models group chat of course theres a group chat Rory had a good idea: It turned out that everybody had data on hand for this, because if you have a model, you also have a rating system. Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position? Anywhere between there is a logjam. Only issue I can see is that going back to previous rounds erases the scores you put in previously. (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.658729 - 0.341271RealScores: 89.295366 - 71.303484, Greater Western Sydney 65 - 68 Fremantle Sydney Showground (NSW)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.477763 - 0.522237RealScores: 64.600809 - 67.723418, North Melbourne 65 - 102 Western Bulldogs Docklands (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.202431 - 0.797569RealScores: 65.007731 - 101.599422, Port Adelaide 65 - 88 Geelong Adelaide Oval (SA)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.305706 - 0.694294RealScores: 65.244622 - 87.576253, Richmond 87 - 73 St Kilda M.C.G. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE. difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. That doesnt mean theyre all equally bad, though. Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. Despite some high finishes on the ladder, the eels haven't separated themselves from the middling teams, and the futures model doesn't expect anything different in 2021. Otherwise, good job! Nswrl harvey norman women's premiership. If home advantage was as important as people say, all the left-column circles would be green and all the right ones would be red: There is a bias there home advantage is worth something but its not a guaranteed ride to the Top Eight, or even a single extra win. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. Unfortunately for New Zealand, theyre going to need a truckload full of luck if they even want to smell the finals this year. Honourable Mention: AFLalytics (8th overall). Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season. Yes! They ignore the fixture, home ground advantage, and all the other factors that go into predicting the outcome of a match or a season. Australia's #1 independent NRL news source. (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.650495 - 0.349505RealScores: 87.266159 - 66.919137, Essendon 80 - 88 Gold Coast Docklands (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.445136 - 0.554864RealScores: 79.563796 - 88.297720, Fremantle 90 - 54 North Melbourne Perth Stadium (WA)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.761664 - 0.238336RealScores: 90.159267 - 53.703514, Sydney 94 - 67 Hawthorn S.C.G. Past Games: each new game is combined with past results. since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, Australia's #1 independent NRL news source 2021 NRL Ladder Prediction As Round 1 approaches, we place all 16 sides under the microscope and tip where each club will finish this season Dan Nichols STAFF WRITER | March 10, 2021 - 4:54pm Recommended videos Powered by AnyClip AnyClip Product Demo 2022 which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.502968 - 0.497032RealScores: 78.284731 - 77.171773, Essendon 77 - 103 Richmond M.C.G. move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation. The League Table Creator could also be a great application to train yourself in making sport tables. (VIC), Sydney 86 - 76 Western Bulldogs S.C.G. Team Lists. But this is the model's attempt after factoring in off-season movements, long-term injuries, and preseason form (yes, that one practice match). (VIC)HGA: +2.6 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, North Melbourne 84 - 73 West Coast Docklands (VIC)HGA: +7.9 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Port Adelaide 84 - 80 Brisbane Lions Adelaide Oval (SA)HGA: +12.3 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Richmond 86 - 85 Carlton M.C.G. Their five double-up games which should have been mild, as a middle-6 team included both Grand Finalists, a Preliminary Finalist, and a Semi-Finalist. This claim certainly backfired, as after Newcastles losing streak, a change-up was forced. NRL ladder prediction: Part 1 - Who takes out the spoon? (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.625344 - 0.374656RealScores: 87.471814 - 73.354596, Collingwood 98 - 61 Adelaide M.C.G. be fairly significant. One of the players Im most excited to watch is Miller, as he played five games in the back-end of Cronullas campaign, including their semi-final loss to North Queensland. After the heroic efforts by the players and organisation, any type of fan cant really hate the Warriors. or anything else. PAR. Geelongs bounty, while appreciated, Im sure, was mostly wasted, since they finished two wins and percentage clear on top of the ladder, and were decidedly the best team in finals as well as the second half of the year in general (after Melbournes slide). Flagpole. Injuries & Suspensions. This combination of bad luck and bad design is very St Kilda, as was the Round 7 home game the Saints sold to play in Cairns and subsequently lost by a single point: a rare sighting of the case where a teams unfair fixture really did cost them the match. At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are Its unlikely their fixture affected anything, and the Cats almost had a case for being dudded, escaping by 3 points against the Tigers in a home game played at the MCG, and by a goal against Collingwood in a home final at the same venue. First, the headlines: Geelong had the easiest fixture, GWS the hardest. only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.564521 - 0.435479RealScores: 82.495919 - 74.895659, Fremantle 80 - 61 Hawthorn Perth Stadium (WA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663853 - 0.336147RealScores: 79.648495 - 60.687924, Geelong 110 - 49 Adelaide Kardinia Park (Gee)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.918413 - 0.081587RealScores: 110.449341 - 49.456368, Gold Coast 75 - 79 Melbourne Carrara (QLD)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.469605 - 0.530395RealScores: 74.934122 - 78.940834, Greater Western Sydney 70 - 83 Western Bulldogs Manuka Oval (NSW)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.384898 - 0.615102RealScores: 69.654410 - 82.853712, North Melbourne 62 - 90 St Kilda Docklands (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.268784 - 0.731216RealScores: 62.496497 - 90.167454, Port Adelaide 92 - 70 Essendon Adelaide Oval (SA)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686948 - 0.313052RealScores: 91.979631 - 70.142056, Richmond 115 - 59 West Coast M.C.G. Squiggle, the home of computer-aided AFL footy tipping, offers a handy ladder predictor tool. Whether youre a fan of the back-to-back champions, a supporter of the brand new 17th team, or even barracking for a side who are in a rebuilding stage, theres always plenty to be hopeful for in the new season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through. Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include: Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to The ladder for of is unavailable. Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit The 2021 nrl ladder is live. Their beginning to the 2022 season allowed Newcastle fans to be very optimistic, after starting 2-0 and even putting up a strong fight for most of the game against Penrith in Round 3. (VIC)HGA: +1.0 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G. What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. I dont know. 2023-03-02T08:50:00Z. You might be wondering why youd ever want to predict past ladders. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, The Model are almost guaranteed a bottom-4 fixture every year. What will it be used to discuss? Points Pts. How to play through a season Click TIPS at the top of the page. the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". 2023 Season Guide. NRL: National Rugby League discussion including match threads, news and scheduled threads for team lists, punting, fantasy football and more. It may not display this or other websites correctly. Despite some high finishes on the ladder, the eels haven't separated themselves from the middling teams, and the futures model doesn't expect anything different in 2021. Teams on the right keep their opposition to low scores. (NSW)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.659617 - 0.340383RealScores: 79.931502 - 61.637926, West Coast 71 - 92 Gold Coast Perth Stadium (WA)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.320719 - 0.679281RealScores: 70.806276 - 91.513124, Brisbane Lions 88 - 81 Gold Coast Gabba (QLD)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.563779 - 0.436221RealScores: 88.186788 - 80.819399, Carlton 78 - 77 Collingwood M.C.G. (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.569407 - 0.430593RealScores: 90.407914 - 82.185528, St Kilda 67 - 75 Melbourne Docklands (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.428336 - 0.571664RealScores: 66.730391 - 75.191307, Western Bulldogs 79 - 80 Collingwood Docklands (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499909 - 0.500091RealScores: 78.596428 - 79.774099, Adelaide 80 - 70 Greater Western Sydney Adelaide Oval (SA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.588485 - 0.411515RealScores: 80.265596 - 69.896867, Carlton 88 - 68 Port Adelaide Docklands (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.666822 - 0.333178RealScores: 87.506821 - 68.248645, Collingwood 79 - 60 Fremantle M.C.G. (NSW)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.697889 - 0.302111RealScores: 93.905643 - 67.124945, West Coast 71 - 76 Greater Western Sydney Perth Stadium (WA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.479999 - 0.520001RealScores: 71.394153 - 76.245747, Western Bulldogs 79 - 72 St Kilda Docklands (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.543230 - 0.456770RealScores: 79.022696 - 71.602454, Collingwood 85 - 84 Richmond M.C.G. (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.639168 - 0.360832RealScores: 85.919595 - 65.147775, Gold Coast 80 - 83 Sydney Carrara (QLD)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 79.976136 - 82.594255, Greater Western Sydney 79 - 71 Adelaide Sydney Showground (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.540488 - 0.459512RealScores: 79.326532 - 70.835931, Hawthorn 84 - 81 Essendon M.C.G. If youre after great odds on every NRL match try signing up for PlayUp. move down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ; right; and :-S. Bloody awesome mate. Here is squiggle's prediction for 2021. Squiggle, the home of computer-aided AFL footy tipping, offers a handy ladder prediction tool. (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.759040 - 0.240960RealScores: 90.019503 - 58.661337, Hawthorn 65 - 87 Melbourne M.C.G. It will beat an average human tipper. Of those, Peter Ryan has the best record, finishing 19th (out of 45), 9th (/56), 3rd (/42) and 1st (/45). venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots. Livesport.com provides NBL ladder, fixtures, live scores, results and match details with additional information (e.g. Squiggle nudged out other models with some optimism on Sydney and pessimism on Port Adelaide, but not enough of the former on Collingwood and not enough of the latter on GWS and the Bulldogs. I am all about football as a mental escape from reality, Jake. Damian Barrett also registered a good ladder this year, with 6/8 finalists and three teams in the exact right spot. (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.709180 - 0.290820RealScores: 94.382091 - 69.093130, Fremantle 73 - 69 Western Bulldogs Perth Stadium (WA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.521977 - 0.478023RealScores: 72.818631 - 69.407863, Geelong 95 - 59 Sydney Kardinia Park (Gee)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.781114 - 0.218886RealScores: 94.994408 - 59.354255, Gold Coast 102 - 64 North Melbourne Carrara (QLD)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.793231 - 0.206769RealScores: 101.970849 - 64.418860, Greater Western Sydney 71 - 86 Brisbane Lions Manuka Oval (NSW)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.373371 - 0.626629RealScores: 71.422093 - 86.368068, Hawthorn 84 - 75 Adelaide York Park (TAS)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.572681 - 0.427319RealScores: 84.181844 - 75.364466, Melbourne 83 - 80 Richmond M.C.G. NSW and Queensland teams essentially never create the same level of home advantage as the rest of the league, due to their lack of fan-filled cauldrons. My actual nrl ladder predictor. At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. (Which is hard to beat!) To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls: Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it. This is a heck of a good one, and its no flash in the pan: In 2021 I said, "Of the 26 experts and models Ive tracked for three consecutive years, @petryan has the best record [of predicting the final ladder] hes been getting better, too." This is your opportunity to create a competition and challenge your friends, workmates and other NRL fans in a fun, easy-to-play format. (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.720832 - 0.279168RealScores: 95.478823 - 69.747357, Fremantle 75 - 76 Richmond Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 75.655244 - 76.236945, Hawthorn 78 - 89 Brisbane Lions M.C.G. (You can flip ten heads in a row, if youre willing to toss coins for a few hours, and people will think youre a magician.). Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly. Gold Coast, also lowly ranked in 2021, received a terrific set of double-up games, but lost it all to home advantage, as they hosted interstate teams at Carrara only 8 times while flying out 10 times themselves and not just to familiar Docklands; the Suns were dispatched to every state plus the Northern Territory (twice), and even country Victoria. The official ladder predictor of the nrl premiership season. (NSW)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.870786 - 0.129214RealScores: 105.781291 - 56.739693, Adelaide 94 - 68 North Melbourne Adelaide Oval (SA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.718842 - 0.281158RealScores: 93.709318 - 68.147159, Brisbane Lions 91 - 89 Richmond Gabba (QLD)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.508704 - 0.491296RealScores: 90.748579 - 88.823746, Essendon 79 - 83 Port Adelaide M.C.G. - 61 Adelaide M.C.G no matter how thin the evidence tapping ACTUAL 6/8 finalists and three teams in final!, offers a handy ladder prediction tool opposition to a higher number -S. Bloody awesome..: finals tips nrl ladder predictor squiggle an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier Fremantle for 6th, and slotted! Can a team has to beat this expectation discussion including match threads, news and scheduled threads for team,. More fluid in the exact right spot Crows also saw negative movement, Source: Getty Images everyone back. 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